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arab voice – A study conducted by a team of Chinese scientists revealed that the number of new cases of new global coronavirus – with the exception of China – could increase by 10 times every 19 days, if no strict measures were taken to contain its spread.
The study, which was based on data recorded until the end of February, and led by a geneticist at Shanghai’s Fudan University, Jin Li, attributed the outbreak of the virus outside China to 34 unnoticed infected people, according to the “South China Morning Post”.
Jin said some of these infected people may have no symptoms, and they were present before or at the same time as the new Coronavirus was first detected in central China’s Wuhan city late last year.
While the expectations of Jin and his team appear bleak, the WHO said that as of last Thursday, there were 14.7,000 confirmed infections outside China, 21 times more than the 16 February number of 683 injured.
In Germany alone, the number of new cases more than tripled registered 545 between Tuesday and Thursday, and a similar pattern was observed in France. Without strong intervention, the researchers said, “the number of confirmed patients outside China will increase tenfold every 19 days.”
The researchers added:
The situation is serious, we call on the world to take strong public health actions using the experience gained from China and Singapore.
